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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (10.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.4% in games he has played).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in run blocking.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the most yards in the NFL (178 per game) versus the Houston Texans defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.

Tua Tagovailoa has averaged a mere 1.2 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the league among quarterbacks (19th percentile).

Tua Tagovailoa has run for many fewer yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).

Tua Tagovailoa has been among the weakest quarterbacks in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.32 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 6th percentile.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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