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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 259.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 252.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 259.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has attempted 35.1 passes per game this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile among QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa is positioned as one of the best passers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 273.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's throwing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 69.6% to 74.7%.
  • With an outstanding 7.84 adjusted yards-per-target (79th percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa has been as one of the best per-play passers in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • This year, the daunting Jets defense has allowed a mere 200.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 3rd-fewest in football.

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