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Tua Tagovailoa
NFL · Player Props
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Miami Dolphins
Passing Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC
NFL Props Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 271.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 273.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 271.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projection model to total the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.2.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's 301.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a noteable gain in his passing prowess over last year's 253.0 figure.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.0% to 70.7%.
Favors Under
  • Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • This year, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a paltry 204.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed a mere 66.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best unit in football this year with their pass rush.
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