Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 281.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 269.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 281.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.8.
The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for substantially more adjusted yards per game (304.0) this year than he did last year (253.0).

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 4.3 YAC.
The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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