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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 284.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (319.0) this year than he did last year (253.0).

Tua Tagovailoa's 72.0% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a an impressive improvement in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.0% mark.

Tua Tagovailoa's throwing efficiency has improved this season, compiling 9.60 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 8.22 figure last season.

This year, the poor Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a whopping 6.30 YAC.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the predictive model to have the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.5.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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