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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 268.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 264.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 268.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 35.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has been among the leading QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 269.0 yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's throwing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 64.0% to 67.3%.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's passing efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 9.87 yards-per-target compared to just 8.22 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.02 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the league.

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