Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 268.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 264.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 268.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 35.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Tua Tagovailoa has been among the leading QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 269.0 yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.
Tua Tagovailoa's throwing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 64.0% to 67.3%.
Tua Tagovailoa's passing efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 9.87 yards-per-target compared to just 8.22 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.02 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the league.

More Tua Tagovailoa Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow