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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 264.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 261.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 37.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in football versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season (65.8%).
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has shown good efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.00 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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