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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tua Tagovailoa's 289.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a noteable growth in his passing proficiency over last year's 253.0 rate.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's 70.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a substantial growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 64.0% mark.
  • With a terrific 8.67 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa rates among the most effective passers in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Dolphins are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 23-mph being projected in this game) generally mean worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

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