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Tua Tagovailoa
NFL · Player Props
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Miami Dolphins
Passing Yards
Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 288.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 287.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 288.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • Tua Tagovailoa has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (292.0) this year than he did last year (253.0).
  • Tua Tagovailoa's 70.3% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive growth in his throwing accuracy over last season's 64.0% rate.
  • Tua Tagovailoa comes in as one of the most efficient QBs in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 8.75 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 96th percentile.
  • This year, the feeble Tennessee Titans defense has conceded a monstrous 75.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the weak Titans defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a staggering 8.55 yards.
Favors Under
  • The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
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