Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 273.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.
Tua Tagovailoa has passed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (298.0) this season than he did last season (253.0).
Tua Tagovailoa's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.0% to 70.1%.
With an excellent 8.74 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa has been as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the league.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Raiders defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).

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