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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 260.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 268.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 260.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 37.4 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has been among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 254.0 yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 8th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 4th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the least yards in the league (just 188.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.

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