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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Chicago Bears vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.4% pass rate.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Miami Dolphins have used play action on 33.9% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
  • The Miami Dolphins have gone no-huddle on 13.9% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 33.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

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