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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-143/+109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 37.4 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns have intercepted 0.36 throws per game this year, grading out as the 4th-worst defense in the NFL by this metric
  • The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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