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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 0.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 37.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most among all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.0% to 70.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 63.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins this year (just 55.7 per game on average).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

This year, the imposing Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a meager 65.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-best rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the league.

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