My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.

Tua Tagovailoa's 70.0% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive gain in his throwing precision over last season's 64.0% figure.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™