Tua Tagovailoa Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2022

Updated Sep 30, 2022 12:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Dolphins have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.5% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
Tua Tagovailoa's throwing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 67.4% to 72.2%.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-highest level in the NFL versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season (71.2%).

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Miami Dolphins O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

More Tua Tagovailoa Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow