Tua Tagovailoa Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Carries

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -167 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
With a 42.1% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.
The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Tua Tagovailoa is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 8th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.1.
The Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

More Tua Tagovailoa Props Data by WriteNow™

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