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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -167 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
  • With a 42.1% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Tua Tagovailoa is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 8th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.1.
  • The Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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