Tua Tagovailoa Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Carries

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 6th-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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