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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • The Denver Broncos safeties rank as the 28th-worst unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to earn 2.7 carries this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.

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