Trishton Jackson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Trishton Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Trishton Jackson

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Trishton Jackson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings will be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.1% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.2 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
The predictive model expects Trishton Jackson to be much more involved in his offense's pass game this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.2% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Trishton Jackson has accumulated a meager 3.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among wide receivers.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.6%) vs. WRs this year (59.6%).
This year, the formidable Saints defense has surrendered the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a puny 7.2 yards.
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 6th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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