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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (68.1%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of CBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

Treylon Burks rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 55.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile among wideouts

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