Treylon Burks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
Treylon Burks has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 70.7% of snaps compared to just 50.6% last year.
Treylon Burks's receiving skills have tailed off this season, compiling a measly 1.5 adjusted receptions compared to 3.1 last season.
Treylon Burks's 41.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 63.7% mark.

More Treylon Burks Props Data by WriteNow™

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