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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys

Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tennessee Titans will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Treylon Burks's 43.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 78th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.

The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64.8%) to wide receivers this year (64.8%).

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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