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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • Treylon Burks has notched significantly more air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (60.0 per game).
  • The Steelers defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (182.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
  • Treylon Burks has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 70.7% of snaps compared to just 50.6% last year.
  • Treylon Burks's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 39.0 mark.
  • Treylon Burks's 41.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 63.7% mark.

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