Treylon Burks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Treylon Burks has been responsible for a monstrous 26.4% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wideouts.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Treylon Burks has been among the bottom wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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