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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical approach.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • This year, the deficient Houston Texans defense has given up a massive 177.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-most in the league.
  • The Texans pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. WRs this year, conceding 9.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (56.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the projection model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.
  • Treylon Burks's 10.3% Target% this year marks a meaningful decline in his pass game usage over last year's 18.3% rate.
  • Treylon Burks has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (60.0 per game).

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