Treylon Burks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to lean 2.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
The Titans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up a whopping 71.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
Treylon Burks's 58.6% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a material diminishment in his pass game volume over last season's 69.0% mark.
The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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