Treylon Burks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will be rolling out backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.47 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Treylon Burks has been among the bottom wideouts in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 0th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63.6%) versus wideouts this year (63.6%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against wideouts this year, conceding 7.77 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the league.

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