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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-506).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +297 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Treylon Burks to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack near the end zone this week (16.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.4% in games he has played).
  • Treylon Burks has been responsible for a monstrous 26.3% of his team's air yards this year: 79th percentile among wideouts.
  • Treylon Burks's 46.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 80th percentile for wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Treylon Burks ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (59%) versus wide receivers this year (59.0%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 10th-least passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.73 per game this year.

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