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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

Treylon Burks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+351/-684).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +366 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +351.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Completion% in football (69.2%) to wide receivers this year (69.2%).

The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Green Bay Packers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.

The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Treylon Burks ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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