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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Trey Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

While Trey Palmer has garnered 5.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Tampa Bay's passing attack in this week's game at 17.0%.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a paltry 1.4 adjusted catches per game (17th percentile) this year, Trey Palmer rates as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs in the league.

The Chiefs pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.9%) versus wideouts this year (60.9%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's CB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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