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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Trey Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -305 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.3% of their plays: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.

The projections expect Trey Palmer to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense in this week's game (10.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a measly 55.6 per game on average).

Trey Palmer profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 56.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 10th percentile among WRs

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in football.

More Trey Palmer Player Props

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