Trey Palmer Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Trey Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Trey Palmer

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Trey Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
This year, the shaky Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered a colossal 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Trey Palmer ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a mere 57.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among wide receivers
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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