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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Trey Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • The Titans pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (74.6%).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
  • With a feeble 57.5% Adjusted Catch% (19th percentile) this year, Trey Palmer stands as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among wide receivers.

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