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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

While Trey Palmer has garnered 5.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Tampa Bay's passing attack in this week's game at 17.0%.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trey Palmer has accrued far fewer air yards this season (19.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).

With a poor 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (24th percentile) this year, Trey Palmer stands among the worst wide receivers in the game in the league.

With a bad 2.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey Palmer places among the best WRs in the game in the NFL in space.

The Chiefs defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 119.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

The Chiefs pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, conceding 6.95 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.

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