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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may slide.

Trey McBride has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (91.2% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (62.7%).

In this week's contest, Trey McBride is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 9.2 targets.

The Arizona offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football (59.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a lowly 55.9 per game on average).

This year, the strong Rams defense has given up a feeble 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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