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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Trey McBride's 91.2% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a material gain in his passing game volume over last season's 62.7% figure.

The leading projections forecast Trey McBride to earn 9.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Trey McBride's 6.8 adjusted catches per game this year conveys an impressive gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 4.7 mark.

Trey McBride's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 76.3% to 80.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 128.1 plays on offense called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.6 per game) this year.

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