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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Trey McBride's 89.3% Route Participation% this year conveys an impressive gain in his air attack usage over last year's 62.7% rate.
  • In this week's game, Trey McBride is projected by the projection model to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.9 targets.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.
  • Trey McBride ranks as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a terrific 5.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.37 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • The Jets linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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