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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are big -12.5-point underdogs.
  • The Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (40.8 per game) this year.
  • This week, Trey McBride is expected by the model to land in the 100th percentile among TEs with 9.6 targets.
  • The predictive model expects Trey McBride to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this week's contest (29.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.9% in games he has played).
  • Trey McBride's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, compiling 4.8 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 3.1 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by the projections to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, Philadelphia's collection of DEs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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