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Trey McBride
NFL · Player Props
Trey McBride
TE · Arizona Cardinals
Receptions
Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2023 Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC
NFL Props Trey McBride Receptions

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Trey McBride to notch 7.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • The model projects Trey McBride to be a more important option in his team's passing attack in this week's contest (22.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.5% in games he has played).
  • Trey McBride has been one of the top TE receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 3.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.4% pass rate.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been very good this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.
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