Trey McBride Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Trey McBride

NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Trey McBride to accumulate 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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