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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

The model projects Trey McBride to earn 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Trey McBride has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing game this season (25.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.0%).

Trey McBride has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (58.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).

Trey McBride has posted many more adjusted receiving yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.

Trey McBride's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching a mere 3.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.06 figure last season.

The Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.38 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.

More Trey McBride Player Props

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