Trey McBride Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Trey McBride's 82.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a a noteworthy growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 72.3% rate.
Trey McBride's pass-catching efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.87 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.61 mark last year.

Favors Under

The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 5.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (55.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cardinals.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Trey McBride has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (32.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (48.2%).
The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack stats across the board.