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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Trey McBride's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 72.3% to 86.3%.
  • Trey McBride's 8.8 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a a remarkable progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 6.6 rate.
  • The Rams defense has been torched for the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (67.0) to tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (55.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
  • Trey McBride's 28.4% Route Participation Rate this season marks a a meaningful decrease in his pass game utilization over last season's 48.2% rate.

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