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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this game, Trey McBride is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 100th percentile among TEs with 8.5 targets.

The model projects Trey McBride to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this contest (26.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).

After accruing 16.0 air yards per game last year, Trey McBride has produced significantly more this year, currently pacing 37.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.5% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 125.3 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

In regards to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

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