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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Trey McBride to total 8.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

The projections expect Trey McBride to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack in this week's contest (24.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The model projects the Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.

The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

This year, the strong Texans pass defense has surrendered the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a paltry 4.2 YAC.

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