Trey McBride Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Trey McBride to accumulate 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

Trey McBride has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging a measly 4.12 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 10th percentile.
Trey McBride has been among the bottom tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 6th percentile.
The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.