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Trey Lance

Trey Lance TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Trey Lance TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 3rd-most TDs through the air in football: 1.82 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to call the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trey Lance to attempt 26.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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