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Trey Lance
NFL · Player Props
Trey Lance
QB · San Francisco 49ers
Rushing TD
Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM EST
NFL Props Trey Lance Rushing TD

Trey Lance Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+172/-251).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +172.

Favors Over
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trey Lance to be much more involved in his offense's run game near the end zone this week (28.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (22.7% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to call the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.
  • Trey Lance has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in football among quarterbacks (1st percentile).
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on just 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
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