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Trey Lance

Trey Lance Completions
Player Prop Week 2

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Trey Lance Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season (73.8%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties project as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a giant 8.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 120.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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